Home Formula One Will Verstappen surpass Hamilton’s all-time grand prix wins file? · RaceFans

Will Verstappen surpass Hamilton’s all-time grand prix wins file? · RaceFans

Will Verstappen surpass Hamilton’s all-time grand prix wins file? · RaceFans


For individuals who have been round to witness Michael Schumacher overtaking Alain Prost because the all-time chief for grand prix victories, it was simple to imagine that the seven-time world champion’s file would by no means be crushed.

However the very subsequent race following Schumacher’s first retirement on the finish of the 2006 season, Lewis Hamilton started a profession that might finally see him eclipse nearly each file Schumacher set – from wins, pole positions, laps led and raced led, with solely the all-time marks for quickest laps and hat trick victories remaining in Schumacher’s sole possession.

Hamilton scaled to unfathomable heights, changing into the primary driver ever to achieve triple digits in race wins and greater than doubling Prost’s tally achieved over one of many sport’s most illustrious careers. However with age slowly creeping up on Hamilton, his tally will sooner or later attain its finish. Actually, with Mercedes’ mediocrity within the ground-effect period to date, Hamilton has remained on 103 wins because the 2021 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix – a 31-race winless streak that’s solely rising.

Whereas Hamilton has been struggling to get again on the highest step of the rostrum, one other driver appears to have acquired a everlasting residency over it – Max Verstappen.

Lewis Hamilton, Daniel Ricciardo, Sergio Perez, Monaco, 2016
Verstappen is because of match Hamilton’s 44 wins in 173 races

Since Formulation 1’s newest technical rules revolution at first of 2022, Verstappen has received 21 of the 30 races to double his profession whole from 20 to 41. He wants only one extra to surpass Ayrton Senna’s tally and declare possession of fifth place on the all-time wins record. With 14 rounds nonetheless remaining within the 2023 season, there’s a troublesome however real likelihood that he might surpass Prost and Sebastian Vettel to maneuver into third place by the top of the yr.

However will Verstappen handle to emulate Hamilton, do what many anticipated would by no means occur and set a fair larger benchmark for all-time race wins in Formulation 1?

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Along with his quick begin in Formulation 1, Hamilton racked up the wins at a fast price. Verstappen actually was no slouch – successful on his debut with Crimson Bull – however he has solely begun to actually construct up wins over the current seasons. If he wins the following three rounds, Verstappen will match Hamilton’s price of 44 victories in his 173rd grand prix.

If he does that, it’s arduous to see him stopping. Crimson Bull proceed to dominate the trendy period and Verstappen’s group mate Sergio Perez is faltering in his efforts to match him. So there’s each likelihood Verstappen might overtake Hamilton’s profession win price on the similar stage of his profession by the top of the season.

With F1 seasons having extra races than ever, Adrian Newey persevering with to provide championship successful automobiles and Crimson Bull’s rivals unable to supply a problem to them, Verstappen can proceed to take wins for years to return. And at solely 25 years outdated, he might probably race in F1 for one more 15 seasons or much more if he needs to, giving him a wonderful alternative to set a brand new file.


Because the twenty first Century has proven to date, domination in Formulation 1 is available in waves. Simply because your group is on prime now doesn’t imply that you’ll stay there ceaselessly, simply as Crimson Bull, Ferrari and Mercedes are all conscious. Finally, Crimson Bull shall be caught and can face better competitors for wins, slowing down Verstappen’s win price.

Then there’s the query of Verstappen himself. How lengthy will he proceed to need to compete in Formulation 1, given how vocal he has been about his pursuits away from the world championship? He has brazenly voiced his dislike of dash races and appears to seek out little pleasure from the ever-growing variety of road circuits Liberty Media appear keen so as to add to the calendar.

Then there’s his admitted curiosity in endurance racing. He’s accomplished loads of it nearly on iRacing over time – it’s inevitable he’ll need to pattern the actual factor. That would see him calling time on his personal F1 profession earlier than he’s inside attain of Hamilton’s file, which might simply nonetheless develop additional.

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I say

Along with his unimaginable uncooked expertise and aptitude behind the wheel, Verstappen has achieved extra in his 25 years than any driver has ever accomplished by such an age. Solely Vettel could have crushed Verstappen to a few world championships at an earlier age, however Verstappen already holds way more wins than Vettel had by the top of 2012.

Race start, Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, 2023
The competitors in F1 is getting nearer

So Verstappen has all the power and potential to finally match Hamilton’s unimaginable wins file. Nevertheless, it’s nonetheless a tricky guess that he’ll be capable to finally get there – and it’s due to elements that Verstappen has no management over.

Not like when Schumacher, Hamilton and Vettel have been successful week after week, Verstappen’s dominance is going on in an period the place the finances cap is starting to drastically reshape F1. In case you ignore Crimson Bull, the present discipline is arguably nearer than it has ever been, with many within the sport anticipating the grid to converge even additional.

That ought to solely enhance the extent of competitors on the entrance over the approaching seasons as automobiles get nearer and it turns into more and more troublesome to seek out these benefits to achieve efficiency over different groups. Fashionable Formulation 1 is designed to naturally forestall dominance and as soon as Crimson Bull is caught, Verstappen might not get pleasure from the identical alternatives that Hamilton needed to win year-after-year with restricted competitors, setting a brand new wins file alongside the best way.

But when there may be any driver who might ever show folks flawed and proceed to choose the wins over time to strategy Hamilton’s file, it’s Max Verstappen.

You say

Do you suppose Max Verstappen can beat Lewis Hamilton’s all-time wins file? Have your say in our ballot under.

Will Max Verstappen finish his F1 profession with a better variety of grand prix wins than Lewis Hamilton?

  • Each drivers will finish their careers with the identical variety of profession grand prix wins (4%)
  • Max Verstappen could have the upper variety of profession grand prix wins (50%)
  • Lewis Hamilton could have the upper variety of profession grand prix wins (46%)

Complete Voters: 24

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