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Total, spherical 1 of the Candidates in Toronto ended peacefully within the Open part, with 4 attracts — though Nakamura had a considerably fortunate escape. The Girls’s part was nearly equally harmonious, other than match favorite Lei Tingjie struggling a defeat by the hands of compatriot Tan Zhongyi.
In addition to broadcasting the dwell video games from the 2 tournaments, Lichess is offering a dwell stream of each single day of the Candidates. Be certain that to tune in to our Twitch or YouTube, with streams ranging from 14:15 Toronto time (18:15 UTC).
We’re additionally offering each day annotations on among the video games from GM Brandon Jacobson, IM / WGM Padmini Rout, and IM Lasse Løvik (Spherical 1).
Schedule
Spherical Recap
Open Part
It was a fairly fast day within the workplace for Nijat Abasov, who declined the Queen’s Gambit supplied to him by Nepomniachtchi. Regardless of verging into novelty territory, they transposed again into well-travelled traces and the sport appeared drawn out of the opening. There have been no fireworks by Nepomniachtchi right here; he deigned to commerce main materials off the board, and after a collection of repetitions, a draw was made on transfer 34.
https://lichess.org/research/embed/AjqSsU1w/ngAeMvrU#0
It was an analogous story between compatriots Gukesh D and Vidit Gujathri. Going right into a Tarrasch, Gukesh, after having performed the very uncommon 9. Ra2!?, ended up in fairly an unpleasant however sensible place. Vidit supplied potential fireworks with 17…Bg4?!, providing a poisoned sacrifice. If White have been to just accept, it might permit Black’s now related rooks nice mobilisation prospects, and depart White’s items wanting disconnected and ungainly. Gukesh, in fact, didn’t settle for the poisoned sacrifice, and as an alternative discovered a repetition, drawing the sport on transfer 21. This fast draw with the Black items was additionally a great end result for Vidit, permitting him to avoid wasting power and put together for his subsequent spherical battle towards Nakamura.
https://lichess.org/research/embed/AjqSsU1w/CsIKgN4H#0
Maybe essentially the most dynamic sport of the day promised to be the Alireza Firouzja sport towards R Praggnanandhaa. Firouzja ended up out of the Open Ruy Lopez with fairly an unconventional pawn construction, at one level even briefly having tripled f-pawns. Praggnandhaa stored the strain on Firouzja, forcing him onto the again foot, however Firouzja maintained his cool, defending completely. Praggnandhaa discovered a chance to drive a repetition, starting with a knight sacrifice noticed and predicted on stream by GM Matthew Sadler. Praggnandha discovered it, a lot to Sadler’s delight in predicting the stream of play appropriately, and Firouzja was pressured right into a threefold repetition.
https://lichess.org/research/Mj0wdEVK/B1RJmCAf#0
Two of the match favourites additionally clashed immediately, fellow countrymen Fabiano Caruana and Hikaru Nakamura. After e4, Nakamura went for a Sicilian, inflicting some shock with 5…e5 relatively than the extra anticipated 5…a6. Caruana confidently started increase initiative, with higher piece placement and management of the board. Caruana exploited Nakamura’s inaccuracies with absolute precision, discovering the one line to keep up and construct his benefit. Beneath time strain, nonetheless, and with no increment to depend on till transfer 40, Caruana slipped and in a handful of strikes misplaced his benefit, with materials being traded and the place wanting decidedly much less deadly and extra drawish. Shortly after reaching the extra time management on transfer 40, the gamers agreed to a draw — a chance misplaced that Caruana will probably be disenchanted to haven’t totally seized upon.
https://lichess.org/research/Mj0wdEVK/pzkfIdqR#0
Following these outcomes, our simulations present that Hikaru Nakamura has now closed the hole because the second place match favorite, primarily as a result of he drew a sport with the Black items towards the one participant increased rated than himself.
| Participant | Win likelihood | Most frequent predicted place | Predicted factors common |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabiano Caruana | 31.5% (-2.2%) | 1 (=) | 8.2 (-0.1) |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 28.2% (+3.9%) | 1 (=) | 8.1 (+0.1) |
| Alireza Firouzja | 10.3 (-1.2%) | 4 (=) | 7.2 (-0.1) |
| R Praggnanandhaa | 9.3% (+1.3%) | 5 (+1) | 7.1 (+0.1) |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 9% (-1.8%) | 5 (-1) | 7.0 (-0.3) |
| Gukesh D | 6.3% (-0.8%) | 6 (=) | 6.8 (-0.2) |
| Vidit Gujrathi | 5.1% (+0.8%) | 7 (=) | 6.7 (+0.1) |
| Nijat Abasov | 0.2% (=) | 8 (=) | 4.7 (+0.2) |
Girls’s Part
The Girls’s match was nearly as equally peaceable because the Open. Salimova opted for a Petrov towards Muzychuk, with gamers following a sport performed between Naiditsch and Fridman in 2013 earlier than diverging on transfer 18. The gamers traded down, with Muzychuk with the White items forcing a repetition — an essential end result for Salimova, who obtained a draw with the Black items towards one of many stronger and most skilled gamers within the Girls’s Candidates.
https://lichess.org/research/embed/o9KMvY7j/GN0cDmMH#0
It was an analogous story for Vaishali, new to the Girls’s Candidates and fewer skilled than her opponent, the doyenne Humpy Koneru. Vaishali diverged into (basically) novelty territory rapidly with 7. Nbd2 — our information discovered an ICCF sport from the Norwegian Correspondence Championship which their sport adopted — earlier than getting into true uncharted territory. Neither facet made any actual errors, regardless of Vaishali residing on the increment. Unable to make headway, Koneru drew the sport by repeating strikes simply after time management was reached.
https://lichess.org/research/Mj0wdEVK/H9AXHAm4#0
The match favorite (by way of the statistics), Aleksandra Goryachkina, confronted compatriot Kateryna Lagno. Lagno went for a Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Sicilian, and truly the engine barely most popular her for nearly the whole sport. Nevertheless, what the engine likes and what a human can see are clearly two very totally different issues, and the end result of the sport appeared fairly equal general. Very like the opposite video games, a repetition was made and the sport fizzled out right into a draw simply earlier than the time management was reached.
https://lichess.org/research/embed/o9KMvY7j/VTWN3nCG#0
The ultimate sport was between compatriots Lei Tingjie and Tan Zhongyi, who had a small rating to settle after Lei knocked Tan out of the earlier Girls’s Candidates. Transposing from an Indian Recreation right into a Queen’s Gambit Declined, Lei appeared to have a slight edge. Nevertheless, Lei doubtlessly misjudged the buying and selling of queens, shedding momentum and permitting Tan to have the pendulum swing in her favor. The sport was doubtlessly wanting like an uncomfortable draw, till an uncommon blunder from Lei adopted by a collection of inaccuracies allowed Tan to kingwalk in such a means that she might threaten a lovely pawn mate. Lei, in fact conscious of this, opted as an alternative for an alternate sacrifice, however the harm was carried out and Tan had quite a lot of stunning endgames to win. At one level, nearly each transfer Lei might make would culminate in a mate in 30 to 60 strikes — such was the extent of her theoretical loss. Tan held on to her benefit and efficiently transformed the complete level, taking a important victory with the Black items towards one of many match favourites!
https://lichess.org/research/Mj0wdEVK/PDrne0JX#0
Following these outcomes, our simulations present that Tan Zhongyi has leapfrogged considerably, to presently be the brand new match favorite — not a shock having taken a full level off one of many match favourites with Black. Nevertheless, the match continues to be younger, and lots of unpredictable twists are certainly but to come back!
| Participant | Win likelihood | Most frequent predicted place | Predicted factors common |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tan Zhongyi | 25.3% (+15.4%) | 1 (+4) | 7.9 (+0.8) |
| Aleksandra Goryachkina | 20% (-1.7%) | 1 (=) | 7.7 (-0.1) |
| Kateryna Lagno | 19% (+2.6%) | 1 (=) | 7.7 (+0.2) |
| Humpy Koneru | 17.9% (-0.5%) | 1 (=) | 7.6 (+0.1) |
| Anna Muzychuk | 7.1% (-2.5%) | 6 (-1) | 6.8 (-0.3) |
| Lei Tingjie | 6.8% (-13.5%) | 6 (-5) | 6.8 (-0.9) |
| R Vaishali | 2.9% (+0.2%) | 7 (=) | 6.2 (+0.2) |
| Nurgyul Salimova | 0.9% (+0.2%) | 8 (=) | 5.4 (+0.3) |
Spherical 2 Preview
Within the Open, there’s a possible golden alternative for Fabiano Caruana with the White items to push towards Nijat Abasov. A whopping score distinction of 171 factors implies victory 73% of the time — assuming the rankings are totally correct (e.g., the gamers should not over/underrated).
Within the Girls’s part — will Tan Zhongyi, with the White items towards R Vaishali, have the ability to push and attempt to improve her lead? Will Lei Tingjie cease the bleeding, or doubtlessly even attempt to push and reverse her fortune with the Black items towards Nurgyul Salimova?
Be certain that to observe the motion with us in Spherical 2!
In addition to broadcasting the dwell video games from the 2 tournaments, Lichess is offering a dwell stream of each single day of the Candidates. Be certain that to tune in to our Twitch or YouTube, with streams ranging from 14:15 Toronto time (18:15 UTC).
Moreover, Lichess is offering each day annotations on among the video games from one of many high chess gamers within the US, GM Brandon Jacobson (aside from Spherical 1), and one of many high girls chess gamers in India, IM / WGM Padmini Rout.
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